Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.427664 0.473135 0.522014 0.578567 0.642319 0.712104 0.794466
2025-06-01 0.358991 0.422722 0.496344 0.588124 0.700086 0.833001 1.003882
2025-06-08 0.313908 0.384919 0.470911 0.583576 0.728569 0.910606 1.159165
2025-06-15 0.285224 0.361392 0.457235 0.588060 0.764104 0.995834 1.329026
2025-06-22 0.257672 0.335421 0.436412 0.579073 0.778432 1.051691 1.462601
2025-06-29 0.236286 0.314971 0.420087 0.573181 0.794503 1.109223 1.602359
2025-07-06 0.212391 0.288794 0.393290 0.549464 0.781863 1.122942 1.676826
2025-07-13 0.201438 0.279482 0.388820 0.556627 0.813926 1.204214 1.862352
2025-07-20 0.191561 0.270767 0.384223 0.562708 0.844178 1.284653 2.054643
2025-07-27 0.182722 0.262784 0.379873 0.568406 0.873734 1.365986 2.256847
2025-08-03 0.174042 0.254338 0.374047 0.571024 0.898090 1.440433 2.454955
2025-08-10 0.166786 0.247490 0.370048 0.575972 0.926278 1.523351 2.677274
2025-08-17 0.155796 0.234325 0.355543 0.563039 0.923756 1.553995 2.808636
2025-08-24 0.150259 0.229389 0.353763 0.571112 0.958236 1.653753 3.085726
2025-08-31 0.142681 0.220668 0.345192 0.566797 0.970047 1.712736 3.288665
2025-09-07 0.137432 0.215371 0.341839 0.571126 0.997660 1.803683 3.568747
2025-09-14 0.130192 0.206343 0.331626 0.562438 1.000094 1.845874 3.750002
2025-09-21 0.124048 0.198793 0.323439 0.556741 1.007571 1.898482 3.960728
2025-09-28 0.115436 0.186596 0.306526 0.533805 0.979601 1.876276 3.998362
2025-10-05 0.112335 0.183691 0.305673 0.540733 1.011181 1.980445 4.344903
2025-10-12 0.109256 0.180644 0.304354 0.546614 1.041042 2.083844 4.704579
2025-10-19 0.106303 0.177648 0.302925 0.552123 1.070508 2.189272 5.085009
2025-10-26 0.103092 0.174016 0.300107 0.554655 1.093834 2.283267 5.450324